platinum’s rally: is it different this time?

Platinum has been making headlines recently with a remarkable rally, reaching near a 10-year high in mid-2025. This surge is not just another fleeting spike; it reflects several underlying factors that differentiate this rally from past ones.

One of the key drivers behind platinum’s strong performance is a persistent supply deficit. The World Platinum Investment Council projects that in 2025, platinum supply will shrink by about 4% compared to the previous year, resulting in nearly a million ounces shortfall. This ongoing shortage creates upward pressure on prices as demand outpaces availability.

Demand itself has shifted notably. Traditionally overshadowed by gold and silver, platinum has gained fresh appeal partly due to changes in consumer behavior—especially in China’s jewelry market. With gold prices hitting record highs earlier this year, Chinese consumers have increasingly turned to platinum as an alternative for jewelry purchases. Even modest increases in demand within an already tight market can cause significant price jumps.

Investment dynamics also play a crucial role this time around. Investors are rotating funds from gold into platinum and silver seeking better returns amid concerns over currency debasement and inflationary pressures globally. Technical trading strategies have amplified these moves: systematic funds have increased exposure after key resistance levels were broken around May 20th, creating momentum that feeds further buying interest.

Despite these gains, it’s important to note that platinum remains well below its all-time peak of over $2,100 per ounce reached back in April 2008 during the global financial crisis turmoil—currently hovering around $1,440 per ounce at its recent high.

What makes this rally different is the convergence of multiple factors: sustained physical shortages driven by mining constraints; shifting consumer preferences toward platinum jewelry; strategic investment rotations favoring metals with upside potential beyond gold; and technical market breakouts reinforcing bullish sentiment.

This combination suggests the current upswing may be more durable than past rallies driven solely by speculative bursts or isolated events. Platinum’s unique industrial uses—in automotive catalytic converters, chemical processing equipment, electronics—and its role as both an investment asset and luxury good underpin its complex price dynamics today.

In essence, while speculative buying sparked initial momentum earlier this year amid tariff fears and geopolitical uncertainties involving major economies like the US and China, fundamental supply-demand imbalances coupled with evolving investor behavior set this rally apart from previous cycles seen over the last decade or more.