platinum’s performance: what to expect in the second half of 2025

Platinum has been on a remarkable run in 2025, reaching its highest price levels in over a decade. After hovering between $900 and $1,100 per ounce for years, platinum surged past $1,330 per ounce by mid-June 2025. This represents a striking 55% increase year-to-date and reflects growing market tightness.

The key driver behind this price rally is the persistent supply-demand imbalance. Both platinum supply and demand are relatively unresponsive to price changes in the short term. Mining output is largely fixed because most platinum comes as a by-product of other metals mined within complex operations that take many years to develop or expand. Even with prices soaring, new production decisions depend on broader market conditions beyond just platinum’s value.

On the demand side, total consumption is expected to decline slightly—around 4% year-on-year—due to shifts in industrial use and automotive markets where platinum plays an important role as a catalyst metal. Recycling contributes some additional supply but remains small compared to overall production.

Looking ahead into the second half of 2025, this structural rigidity means prices are unlikely to drop significantly despite their recent gains. The market deficit could widen further toward nearly one million ounces due to ongoing undersupply relative to demand.

While some forecasts suggest modest price increases continuing through late 2025—potentially stabilizing around or above current highs—the lack of immediate supply response suggests volatility may persist if any sudden shifts occur in industrial demand or macroeconomic factors.

In essence, investors and industry watchers should expect **platinum prices near multi-year highs sustained by fundamental imbalances**, with limited relief from increased mining output or reduced consumption anytime soon. This creates an environment where platinum remains attractive for those seeking exposure to precious metals benefiting from constrained supply chains amid evolving global economic conditions.