Could Platinum’s Supply Squeeze Lead to Record Prices?

Platinum prices have been climbing sharply in 2025, reaching levels not seen in over a decade. This surge is largely due to a tightening supply situation combined with rising demand from various sectors.

The supply of platinum is shrinking. Mining output has fallen for several years, and this year’s total production is expected to be the lowest in five years. The world has been running a platinum deficit for three consecutive years, meaning more platinum is being used than mined. This ongoing shortfall has caused above-ground stocks of the metal to dwindle dangerously low—enough to cover only about three months of global demand if current trends continue.

On the demand side, several factors are pushing prices higher. Platinum’s use in automotive catalytic converters remains strong as stricter emissions regulations drive carmakers to rely on it more heavily. Additionally, emerging technologies like hydrogen fuel cells are increasing industrial consumption of platinum because it serves as an efficient catalyst in these systems.

Investor interest is also growing rapidly. Platinum ETFs and other investment vehicles have attracted buyers looking for exposure to this precious metal amid fears that its scarcity will push prices even higher. In some regions, notably Asia, investors see platinum as an undervalued asset compared to gold and silver and are moving into it aggressively.

Jewelry sales contribute another layer of demand growth. As prices rise and consumer confidence strengthens, people are increasingly choosing platinum jewelry over gold or other metals—not just for style but also as an investment that may appreciate further.

Market dynamics show signs of tightness beyond just physical availability: forward prices trading below spot (a condition called backwardation) indicate immediate scarcity concerns; borrowing costs for leasing physical platinum remain unusually high; all these point toward a market under pressure from limited supply against steady or growing demand.

Taken together—the persistent supply deficits, expanding industrial uses especially linked with green technologies, renewed investor appetite, and robust jewelry sales—create what many analysts describe as a “perfect storm” driving platinum toward potentially record price territory if current conditions persist or worsen further.

In essence, the squeeze on available platinum supplies amid broadening uses could well lead this white precious metal into new highs unseen since before 2014–2015 periods when similar tightness occurred but was less prolonged or severe than today’s scenario suggests.